April 2011
Always Fun Beating the Yankees
In my last post, I was giving my views on the Jays series in Boston against the Red Sox. My thought, given the pitching matchups, that the Jays should come out of the series at 2 and 2. In the end, they ended up losing three of the four games at Fenway. After winning the first game Friday night (just), Jo Jo Reyes laid an egg on Saturday and the team really was never given a chance to win. Plus Josh Beckett shut down the Jays’ bats without too much difficulty. Sunday was a little more of the same. Jesse Litsch wasn’t terrible but a few bloop hits and a mistake cost him early and Jon Lester again silenced the Jays’ offence.
I wasn’t too upset about the back to back losses against Beckett and Lester. The performance by Reyes was just painful to watch as he had no command of any of his pitches, couldn’t throw strikes and when he did get something over the plate, it was hit hard.
I expected the Jays to get out of Boston with a split having Ricky Romero on the mound on Monday facing a struggling Daisuke Matsusaka. Instead it was Romero who struggled and Dice-K pitched great and the Jays got shelled again.
Not a great road trip in the least. They lost two of three in Anaheim, two of three in Seattle and then three and four in Boston. As a reward, the Blue Jays got to travel home to the Rogers Centre for a two game set against the Yankees.
Last night’s game started off promising. Jose Bautista homered off of A.J. Burnett in the bottom of the first giving the Blue Jays an early 1-0 lead. Kyle Drabek was holding his own after some trouble in the second inning against the formidable Yankees lineup. The game turned in the sixth when with the score tied 2-2, Mark Teixeira took Drabek deep for a two-run shot giving the Yankess a 4-2 lead. At this point I was participating in Rogers Sportsnet’s live gamecast and the live chat took an ugly turn at this point.
Many of the fans participating in this on-line chat immediately decided that the Jays recent slump was continuing and that the 2011 season was lost. In summary, many of the conclusions being reached by these negative Nancys was that Adam Lind, Aaron Hill and Travis Snider were busts and needed to be moved out of town. Some were suggesting that guys like Brett Lawrie, Eric Thames and Zach Stewart be called up immediately. Others suggested that the Jays loosen the purse strings and get active on the free agent market this coming offseason.
The Negative Nancys had pretty much written this game off heading into the bottom of the sixth but the Blue Jays mounted a bit of a rally. Aaron Hill lead the inning off with a single. He then stole second but injured his hamstring doing so and was removed from the game. After a Jose Molina pop-out and a Corey Patterson walk, Edwin Encarnacion doubled off of A.J. Burnett to bring the Jays within one run and runners on second and third with only one out. It looked as if the Jays would at least tie the game or possibly take the lead but David Patterson, in relief of Burnett, struck out both Yunel Escobar and Travis Snider to end the threat.
This put the Nancys into a frenzy. Travis Snider was being compared to Eric Hinske and they were calling for him to be sent to Las Vegas. Jason Frasor did not help things as after getting Jeter to ground out, he surrendered a solo home run to Curtis Granderson restoring the Yankees lead to two runs. This was it, the game was over, AA didn’t know what he was doing, the Jays will never be a contender etc. etc.
The Yankees then went to their shut-down trio of relievers to close the game out. Joba Chamberlain in the seventh got the Jays to go three up and three down. Rafael Soriano came in the bottom of the eighth and despite a walk to Corey Patterson, retired the Jays with relative ease.
After the Yankees were held off the board in the top of the ninth, the Yankees brought in Mariano Rivera. A two-run lead with perhaps the greatest closer the game has ever seen in the game. The Negative Nancies were ready to slam the coffin shut on the Jays. However, something very interesting happened. Yunel Escobar doubled to lead off the inning. The Negative Nancys’ whipping boy, Travis Snider, grounded out to second advancing Escobar to third. Jose Bautista drew a walk but the last pitch squirted away from Russel Martin allowing Escobar to score from third. The Jays were within one run with one out. Adam Lind had a great at bat versus Rivera and finally singled to right allowing Bautista to go first to third. The comeback was nearly complete. John MacDonald came up next and executed a perfect squeeze bunt up the first base line. Teixeira charging in attempted to go home to get Bautista but his throw was too late and the Jays had tied it up. The Jays then loaded the bases on a Jose Molina single to left. Brett Gardiner was playing shallow and got to the ball quickly so Butterfield held Lind at third. The bases were loaded with Corey Patterson at the plate who was hot of late but Rivera induced a double-play to end the inning.
The Negative Nancys were a little subdued at this point. There were a few comments stating that it was a nice comeback but if the Jays didn’t win, it would be a disaster. More comments just simply stated that because the Jays didn’t win it in the ninth, they were still going to lose the game. However, Jon Rauch shut down the Yankees in the top of the tenth and things got started early in the bottom half of the inning when Edwin Encarnacion led off with a single off of Ivan Nova. After a failed bunt attempt, Jayson Nix flied out to deep right and then Yunel Escobar flied out to deep centre bringing Travis Snider to the plate with two outs. The Nancys were already writing off the inning. However, Travis silenced them all with a double to right centre scoring Encarnacion. Game over, Jays win!
This was a great win for the club. Yes they had a disasterous road trip which pretty much erased a good start at home. However, nobody is running away with the east at the moment and the Jays are still in the mix. They have one more game with the Yankees before the red hot Rays come to town. From there, the Jays head out to Texas to face the AL Champs for four games, then to New York for a three game set to close out the month. Not easy. If they manage to get out of this month around .500, it will be a decent start to the year in my opinion. We’ll see.
The Jays finally activated Frank Francisco off the DL yesterday but in somewhat of a surprise move, they sent Jesse Litsch to Las Vegas. If this move was predicated on performance alone, it would be a huge surprise given what Jo Jo Reyes has shown us in 2011. However, Reyes is out of options so would have to clear waivers before he could be assigned to Vegas (much like David Purcey) and he would most likely be claimed. As a result, the Jays wanted to hang on to Reyes and give him a chance to rebound (they like his arm).
Other roster moves are imminent as Brandon Morrow is ready to make his return to the lineup on Saturday. Morrow’s return would likely see Luis Perez returned to Vegas. Also, the Hill injury may lead to him going on the DL and if so, would result in the recall of Mike McCoy. Scott Posednik is also ready to get back on the field and should be reporting to Las Vegas soon to get back into game shape. Rajai Davis is also nearing a return. Then the question will be what happens to the outfield picture for the Blue Jays with Snider, Davis, Bautista, Rivera, Patterson and Posednik all healthy. Based on performance, Rivera should be the odd man out but he carries a large salary and would be tough to deal and get anything in return. Another option would be to buy Rivera out of his last year of his contract and release him. If that doesn’t occur then a decision between Patterson and Posednik will have to be made. Given the way Patterson has performed thus far, Posednik could be the odd man out. However, Posednik may not be quite healthy yet or suffer a setback in his recovery so no need to speculate as to his fate just yet.
Well hopefully the Jays take another from the Yankees tonight before jetting off to the Lonestar State. Bartolo Colon is making his first start as a Yankee against Brett Cecil who is coming off his best start of the season last Friday in Fenway.
Bring on the BoSox
The Blue Jays open up a four game set at Fenway Park in Boston on Jackie Robinson Day against the last place Red Sox. I had to describe the Red Sox as last place as I really don’t think this will hold for long.
The Red Sox have struggled out of the gate but the team is stacked and its a 162 game season. They’ll get back on track soon enough. I’m just hoping it’s not this weekend.
That being said, things look good for the Red Sox this weekend. As a result of a rainout in Baltimore, they’ve had two days off to rest and because of the extra day off they got to skip John Lackey’s turn in the rotation. As a result, the Blue Jays get to face Buchholz in game one, Beckett in game two, Jon Lester in game three, and Matsusaka in game four. The Jays are countering with a struggling Brett Cecil in game one, Reyes in game two, Litsch in game three and Romero in game four.
Buchholz has pitched well against the Jays in the past but sports a 7.20 ERA heading into tonight’s game. That coincidentally is Brett Cecil’s ERA as well. So you have two starters who both had impressive 2010 campaigns but struggling so far in 2011. It should be interesting tonight to see if either of these two pitchers regain their 2010 form.
For the rest of the series there appears to be pitching mismatches. Saturday and Sunday appear to favour the Red Sox with Beckett and their ace Jon Lester throwing against Reyes and Litsch respectively. Beckett looked horrible in his first start but then looked like his old self against the Yankees last week. Lester is a Cy Young contender and will be tough to beat. So I give the edge to the Red Sox for these two days.
Monday sees a Romero vs. Matsusaka matchup with definitely favours the Blue Jays. Matsusaka has been anything but impressive this year. Romero has been lights out in his three starts.
The Red Sox lineup is as impressive as any despite the team’s early struggles. Adrian Gonzalez just inked an new contract extension so he’ll be ready to live up to that contract to the Red Sox faithful. Another newcomer is of course, Carl Crawford. Crawford is struggling but the Jays have seen him enough times in Tampa to know what he can do. These two added to an already formidable lineup that includes the likes of Pedroia, Youkilis, and Ellsbury. Also given how well the Red Sox play at home in Fenway (to me, the biggest home field advantage in the majors), it’s going to be a tough series.
To me, if the Jays come out of this series at 2 and 2, it will be a success and anything more would be a bonus.
How do the Jays look 12 Games In?
Well here we are 12 games into the the Blue Jays’ season and the team sits comfortably at 6 and 6. This record could be better for certain as in five of the six games that the Blue Jays lost, they lost by only one run and the other loss was by two runs. They’ve been in every game to date. There was also the horse-bleep baserunner interference call in Anaheim that cost them a game and of course the disaster in Seattle where the bullpen blew a five-run lead.
So twelve games in, here are my first impressions on the 2011 Blue Jays
The Offense/Lineup
There have been some bright lights and some disappointments thus far. To me the brightest lights have been Yunel Escobar, J.P. Arencibia, and Jose Bautista.
Escobar has been on fire since the start of the season. He leads the team in average and OBP and has reached base safely in every game. He also, of course has that walk-off homerun against the A’s on April. Hopefully there will be no lingering effects from that mild concussion he suffered.
Arencibia started the season off with a bang with two homeruns in the season opener. He leads the team in slugging percentage and has legged out two triples as well. His defence has not been an issue.
Bautista hasn’t been hitting balls out of the park like a mad man but he still has three to lead the team including that big 3 run homerun in the series finale against Seattle that turned the game around for the Blue Jays. He’s hitting at a .353 clip so far and has drawn ten walks already this season despite missing three games for the birth of his daughter.
Honourable mentions go to Jose Molina, John MacDonald and Jason Nix who have performed well in part-time roles.
The biggest disappointments for me thus far have been Juan Rivera and Aaron Hill. Rivera had a decent spring and swung the bat well but so far this season he has been absolutely terrible. He’s slow, he looks uninspired and is next to useless in the field. So when Rivera is not swinging the bat well, he doesn’t add too much to the equation.
Aaron Hill continues to struggle. He has an OBP below .200 and has only 8 hits so far this year. Quickly perusing the Jays’ box scores this year, I don’t believe he has a multiple hit game yet but I could be wrong there. Either way, Hill continues to scuffle. Perhaps the missed time during spring training has affected him. One bright spot is that he does have seven RBIs thus far, only one behind the team leaders; Adam Lind and Travis Snider.
Speaking of Lind and Snider, they haven’t exactly torn the cover off the ball but despite slow starts to the season, they still have been contributing. Snider has impressed me with his play in left field and his newfound ability to gun runners out trying to take that extra base. He seems to have more plate discipline this year and he is advancing runners even if he’s not reaching base. Lind is playing a decent first base and has hit relatively well so far this season. He’s not putting up the numbers that fans expect of Lind but I think that will come. He’s impressed me with his ability to hit lefties (batting .357 against them so far) but for some reason he has struggled against righties (batting .206). After batting .360 in the opening two series at Rogers Centre, he has struggled on this road trip only batting a buck thirty.
From the rest of the lineup, I think we’re getting about what I expected. Encarnacion can be productive but is unreliable in the field. Davis has been impressive when he’s got on base but has struggled to do so consistently and is battling an ankle injury. Corey Patterson has just returned to the lineup after missing most of the start of the season with a concussion (thank you Josh Beckett) but has been impressive in the games he’s played and has more than made up for Davis being absent. As I noted earlier, the part-time players like Molina, MacDonald and Nix have all contributed nicely. Nix has hit some timely homeruns and played better defence at third than Encarnacion. MacDonald is stellar defensively but has also had a few decent games at the plate. Molina has shown some power with a .706 slugging percentage thus far in limited action.
In general the baserunning game and aggressiveness has been impressive. Yes the team has been caught in a few run downs and there have been a few baserunning mistakes but on the whole, this new philosophy of being aggressive on the basepaths has paid off.
Starting Pitching
The starters have, on the whole, been effective. Ricky Romero has been brilliant in all of his three starts. Kyle Drabek has shown he has impressive stuff and the ability to get outs even when he’s struggling with control. Jesse Litsch has been solid in his two starts. Jo Jo Reyes has been both ugly and good. He was awful in his first start against Oakland and then in his second start against the Angels, he was effective holding the Angels to three runs (only 1 earned) over seven innings.
Brett Cecil has struggled in his first two starts. In his first start against Minnesota, he really only had one bad inning but he was only around for five. His last outing against the Angels he struggled again and despite the run support provided by the offence he could never keep the lead. Much has been made about his lack of velocity coming out of spring training but from what I’ve seen, the bigger problem is his location. He seems to have struggled with keeping the ball down in the zone and has been hurt when the ball is up.
The big question is who will be the odd man out when Brandon Morrow returns. Odds on favourite is Jo Jo Reyes but the Blue Jays love his arm and if Cecil continues to struggle they may decide to keep Reyes in the rotation and have Cecil work out his issues in Vegas.
The Bullpen
It’s hard to really put a gauge on this bullpen so far. They’ve looked good in some games and terrible in others (see Seattle!). To me, the mid relievers like Janssen, Camp, Villeneuva, et. al have been impressive. Mark Rzepczynski has been lights out for the most part (again see Seattle) and seems to have found his niche in the pen. The back end of the bullpen hasn’t been so good in my opinion. Jason Frasor is Jason Frasor. He can be effective and strike out the side but he also can come into the game with the game on the line and give up that key hit/homerun etc. I don’t like him as a late-inning reliever but over the years he has not been terrible in this role. Jon Rauch as closer does not instill a whole lot of confidence in me but I think Frank Francisco’s return is imminent so Rauch can slip back into a set-up type role with Octavio Dotel. Dotel looked great in his two appearances against Anaheim but was also part of that disaster in Seattle. I think he’ll be effective as well as a set-up man as long as he doesn’t get to face lefties too often.
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